TruaceTracing the truth around AIThursday, September 17, 2026
The Index

What the evidence says.What the public feels.

Ranks distinct AI gain and problem claims from the published record. Scores reward impact, independent source strength, scale, confidence, and recency.

1,439 results
Show filters and sorting

AI gains · 798

68
GainHealth· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Across 17 studies totaling 243,324 trauma patients, the best-performing ML model showed a small pooled AUC advantage over logistic regression for mortality prediction.

A systematic review and meta-research appraisal examined 20 studies comparing machine learning and logistic regression for trauma mortality prediction, with 17 studies (243,324 patients) in primary synthesis. The pooled within-study AUC difference favoring the best ML model was 0.026 (95% CI 0.009-0.043), 0.017 in co-primary analysis of studies reporting CIs, with extreme heterogeneity and a prediction interval crossing zero.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%99

Updated Sep 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-1068

68
GainHealth· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Deep learning models showed promising and often strong performance for predicting conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease, supporting early diagnosis and timely therapeutic intervention.

This PRISMA-guided systematic review examined 60 studies published between 2019 and February 2026 that used deep learning to classify Alzheimer's stages and predict conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease. It found cross-sectional designs predominant, CNNs dominant for neuroimaging, and growing use of RNNs and transformers for longitudinal data, with multimodal approaches in 24 studies.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%99

Updated Sep 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-1067

68
GainClimate· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Physics-informed categorical chain differential model improved coupled prediction of four ash fusion temperatures, reducing deformation temperature error and eliminating physically impossible temperature inversions to support boiler safety and slagging-risk management.

Researchers developed a Categorical Chain Differential framework that couples prediction of four ash fusion temperatures across heterogeneous solid fuels. Using a regressor chain with fuel category information and non-negative constraints on inter-stage differences, the model enforces the physical order DT ≤ ST ≤ HT ≤ FT.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%99

Updated Sep 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-1065

68
GainHealth· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Digital devices, social media and AI tools have brought convenience and connectivity and can have positive impacts on cognitive functions including attention and memory.

A Frontiers in Cognition review published in November 2023 surveyed how digital devices, social media platforms, and AI tools affect human cognition. It described these technologies as integral to daily life, bringing convenience and efficiency, while also examining their positive and negative influences on attention, memory, addiction, perception, decision-making, critical thinking and learning across different age groups.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%99

Updated Sep 10, 2026 · TRV-2026-1055

AI problems · 641

68
ProblemPolicy· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

AI-enabled medical devices create dynamic, data-dependent hazards that current ISO 14971, AAMI CR34971 and EU AI Act approaches address only in fragmented form, leaving gaps in hazard linkage, control adequacy, and lifecycle monitoring.

A peer-reviewed review published August 13, 2026 examined how AI-enabled medical devices challenge traditional safety-risk management. Drawing on 19 academic and regulatory sources, it found ISO 14971, AAMI CR34971 and the EU AI Act each cover parts of device safety and algorithmic governance but remain fragmented in practice.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%94

Updated Aug 15, 2026 · TRV-2026-0771

68
ProblemHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Prompt-engineered simplification performed significantly worse for completeness and harmfulness in specific diagnoses and provided generic education disconnected from pathological findings.

A peer-reviewed survey study from January to April 2025 asked 52 US dermatology and dermatopathology professionals to rate AI-simplified versions of six fictitious dermatopathology reports. One version used Basic ChatGPT-4.0 with a simple prompt and the other used a custom DermDecoder GPT with a structured 489-word prompt, evaluated for factualness, completeness, and potential harm.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%94

Updated Aug 15, 2026 · TRV-2026-0766

68
ProblemHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

When used zero-shot to identify lumbar disc herniations on sagittal MRI, Gemini 3.1 Pro produced low specificity and a substantial false-positive burden, with T1+T2 input performing worse than T1-only.

Researchers tested Gemini 3.1 Pro in a zero-shot setting to detect lumbar disc herniations on sagittal MRI from 119 SPIDER cases (26% prevalence). Using only the mid-sagittal slice and a forced binary prompt, T1-only achieved 70% accuracy with 58% sensitivity and 74% specificity, while paired T1+T2 achieved 58% accuracy with 77% sensitivity and 51% specificity.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%93

Updated Aug 14, 2026 · TRV-2026-0758

68
ProblemHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Current AI toxicity models are limited by black-box opacity that lowers transparency and regulatory confidence, with most explainable AI applications still stuck at computational or preclinical stage.

On August 12, 2026, a review in the International Journal of Toxicology summarized AI and machine learning use in toxicological risk assessment to predict chemical toxicity and support regulatory decisions, noting that explainable AI methods like SHAP and LIME are being explored to make model decisions interpretable.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%93

Updated Aug 14, 2026 · TRV-2026-0757

Recomputed live from the record · Sep 17, 2026, 4:04 AM