TruaceTracing the truth around AITuesday, September 15, 2026
The Index

What the evidence says.What the public feels.

Ranks distinct AI gain and problem claims from the published record. Scores reward impact, independent source strength, scale, confidence, and recency.

1,419 results
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AI gains · 788

72
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

A random forest model using only routine preinjury clinical data predicted posttraumatic epilepsy onset up to 10 years after TBI in veterans, achieving AUC around 0.73-0.75 and identifying 17.5% of 5-year cases at 2.3% false positive rate.

Researchers developed and validated machine learning models to predict posttraumatic epilepsy onset at 2, 5, and 10 years after first TBI documentation in 107,987 post-9/11 US veterans, using only routine preinjury clinical data up to the month of injury. An optimized random forest achieved AUCs of 0.75 to 0.73 across horizons on held-out test data and enabled high-risk stratification.

Impact 30%63
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%92

Updated Aug 5, 2026 · TRV-2026-0652

72
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Monthly allocation of Medicaid care-management outreach by predicted individualized treatment effect prevented substantially more ED visits or hospital admissions than risk-based allocation at the same 10% capacity.

Researchers compared two ways to allocate scarce Medicaid care-management phone outreach each month for 164,063 beneficiaries in Washington and Virginia. Using a causal forest to estimate individualized treatment effects, they found targeting the top decile by predicted effect prevented 13.3 acute events per 2000 members per month, compared with 2.5 events under conventional top-decile risk targeting.

Impact 30%63
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%90

Updated Jul 26, 2026 · TRV-2026-0571

72
GainSports· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Integrated AI systems in sports biomechanics reduced reinjury rates by 23% and enabled technique assessment and injury prediction with high accuracy.

By August 2025, a scoping review of 73 studies published between 2015 and 2024 examined AI in sports biomechanics, focusing on wearable technology, motion analysis, and injury prevention. It reported that convolutional neural networks reached 94% agreement with experts, computer vision was within 15 mm of marker-based systems, and integrated AI systems were associated with a 23% reduction in reinjury rates.

Impact 30%63
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 22, 2026 · TRV-2026-0492

72
GainLifestyle· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Machine learning, led by neural networks, provides advanced quality control, safety monitoring, and process optimization across food industry domains including defect detection and predictive QC.

On 2025-10-04, a peer-reviewed review in Foods synthesized 25 studies selected from 124 Scopus records from 2005-2025 to map machine learning use for quality control in food production. It organized findings into six domains covering quality applications, defect detection and visual inspection, ingredient optimization, packaging sensors and predictive QC, supply chain traceability, and Industry 4.0 models.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%60
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 22, 2026 · TRV-2026-0481

AI problems · 631

68
ProblemEducation· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Learner survey showed mixed perceptions with half of respondents reporting technical complexity did not match their training level, prompting requests for a more introductory primer and greater clinical emphasis.

Between 2023 and 2025, educators at a single academic institution integrated an 8-hour interactive AI rotation into diagnostic radiology residency, combining didactics with lab modules on convolution, radiomics, machine learning, deep learning, evaluation, bias, and clinical cases for 27 residents across three cohorts.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%98

Updated Sep 7, 2026 · TRV-2026-1007

68
ProblemHealth· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

CT, MRI, and FDG-PET/CT-based AI/radiomics models for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma lack external validation, calibration, transparency, and nodal coverage, precluding safe clinical use to guide HPV-related treatment deintensification.

A TRIPOD+AI scoping review of 61 studies examined AI and radiomics applied to CT, MRI, and FDG-PET/CT for histologically confirmed oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma, focusing on HPV status prediction and treatment deintensification. CT was the dominant modality, manual segmentation and handcrafted radiomics with machine learning were most common, and HPV models reported AUCs from 0.65 to 0.95.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%98

Updated Sep 7, 2026 · TRV-2026-1006

68
ProblemLabor· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

AI exposure concentrates in cognitively intense occupational clusters, creating multi-dimensional vulnerability that varies with job structure and buffering capacity.

Researchers analyzed 664 U.S. occupations across 128 skill dimensions, using K-means clustering to identify five distinct groups and scoring each for AI Exposure via AIOE and for protective job features via PBI, with PCA to examine how exposure and buffering relate to skill composition.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%98

Updated Sep 7, 2026 · TRV-2026-1004

68
ProblemHealth· Newly added· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Mistral-NeMo failed to classify CPT codes accurately when billing descriptions were not provided, showing dependence on contextual information.

A peer-reviewed study tested the Mistral-NeMo language model on 1000 operative notes from 177 providers to verify Current Procedural Terminology codes for lower-extremity orthopaedic surgery. When CPT billing descriptions were included in the prompt, the model correctly identified 90% of true codes and rejected 99.80% of incorrect codes.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%98

Updated Sep 7, 2026 · TRV-2026-1003

Recomputed live from the record · Sep 15, 2026, 9:59 PM