TruaceTracing the truth around AITuesday, September 15, 2026
The Index

What the evidence says.What the public feels.

Ranks distinct AI gain and problem claims from the published record. Scores reward impact, independent source strength, scale, confidence, and recency.

1,419 results
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AI gains · 788

74
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Clinical-parameter XGBoost model stratified patients into low-risk and high-risk groups with 94.0% vs 65.0% 2-year local control after carbon-ion radiotherapy for early-stage peripheral NSCLC.

Between 2010 and 2020, 124 patients with early-stage peripheral non-small cell lung cancer treated with carbon-ion radiotherapy at a single institution were analyzed retrospectively to develop a machine learning predictor of local recurrence within 24 months. An Extreme Gradient Boosting classifier trained on clinical parameters with nested threefold cross-validation achieved ROC-AUC 0.622 and PR-AUC 0.145, and separated patients into low-risk and high-risk groups.

Impact 30%69
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%91

Updated Aug 2, 2026 · TRV-2026-0622

74
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

A point-of-care exhaled breath condensate device combined with physiological parameters and ensemble machine learning identified early-stage lung cancer in a real-world screening cohort with 85.7% accuracy and 100% specificity on held-out test data.

Researchers tested Inflammacheck, a point-of-care device that measures hydrogen peroxide in exhaled breath condensate plus physiological signals, combined with machine learning, in 34 participants from a UK lung health check programme where 83% of cancers were stage I-II. Multivariate analyses separated cancer and control groups, and a voting ensemble achieved 85.7% accuracy and 0.90 ROC-AUC on held-out data.

Impact 30%69
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%91

Updated Aug 1, 2026 · TRV-2026-0616

74
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Machine learning models using structural MRI, amyloid PET, and demographic features can classify tau positivity in the Braak III/IV region in amyloid-positive cohorts, achieving AUC 0.92 and 85% accuracy on external validation.

By August 2026, researchers had trained machine learning models on ADNI data to predict tau PET positivity from more accessible MRI and amyloid PET features, then tested them on OASIS-3 and SCAN cohorts. Logistic regression reached AUCs of 0.92 in both internal and external validation, with combined external accuracy of 85%.

Impact 30%69
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%91

Updated Aug 1, 2026 · TRV-2026-0610

74
GainScience· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

LLM-driven adaptive level modification framework classified players by skill with 97.82% accuracy and generated modified levels that remained traversable at 74.1% full-level and 83.5% chunk-level rates.

On July 28, 2026, Scientific Reports published a framework for adaptive level modification that continuously infers player skill and restructures game content in real time. The system combines reinforcement learning agents and human data to classify skill, then uses a two-stage large language model pipeline to rewrite level chunks, with a physics-constrained verifier to preserve playability.

Impact 30%69
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%91

Updated Jul 30, 2026 · TRV-2026-0594

AI problems · 631

71
ProblemScience· Stable· Evidence: High (5 sources)

Consumers perceive products described as designed by AI as less sustainable than identical products described as designed by humans, driven by a perceived lack of genuine care.

By July 2026, researchers reported a series of studies showing that when products were described as designed by AI, consumers rated them as less sustainable than when the same products were described as designed by humans, despite AI's efficiency potential.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%100
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%100
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-0140

71
ProblemBusiness· Stable· Evidence: High (3 sources)

In the same 19 G20 countries, the relationship between AI and economic growth is concave, indicating diminishing marginal returns as AI intensity rises.

A peer-reviewed study of 19 G20 countries from 2005 to 2023 used Generalized Method of Moments models to estimate how AI-related innovation relates to economic growth. The linear specification found a positive and significant effect, while the quadratic specification found a negative quadratic term indicating a concave pattern.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%100
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%100
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-0139

71
ProblemPolicy· Stable· Evidence: High (4 sources)

AI deepfake tools enable unauthorized manipulation and dissemination of individuals' images, voices and behaviours without consent, exposing them to digital exploitation.

By July 2026, a peer-reviewed paper examined how proliferation of AI deepfake technologies allows unauthorized use of a person's likeness, including manipulation of images, voices and behaviours and dissemination without consent, affecting celebrities, politicians and private individuals on social media.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%100
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%100
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-0131

71
ProblemCrime· Stable· Evidence: High (5 sources)

Perpetrators obtain children's photos from social media and use AI-based applications to manipulate them into indecent content constituting digital pornography.

By June 2026, researchers documented a cybercrime pattern in Cirebon where perpetrators obtained children's photographs from social media or other digital platforms and manipulated them using Artificial Intelligence-based applications to produce indecent content.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%100
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%100
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 13, 2026 · TRV-2026-0130

Recomputed live from the record · Sep 15, 2026, 6:14 PM