TruaceTracing the truth around AIMonday, September 14, 2026
The Index

What the evidence says.What the public feels.

Ranks distinct AI gain and problem claims from the published record. Scores reward impact, independent source strength, scale, confidence, and recency.

1,404 results
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AI gains · 779

67
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Deep-learning NLP models classified antidepressant treatment response as improved versus no evidence of improvement from routine EHR clinical notes with AUROC up to 0.88.

Researchers evaluated eight deep-learning natural language processing models to phenotype antidepressant treatment response from routine clinical notes in the Mass General Brigham system. Using 111,572 patients from 1990-2018 and 4,299 manually reviewed note sets across 2 days to 26 weeks after initiation, models distinguished 'improved' versus 'no evidence of improvement' with strong discrimination.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 17, 2026 · TRV-2026-0250

67
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

General-purpose LLMs can encode EHRs as plain-text descriptions to produce embeddings for clinical prediction without private medical training data, matching a specialized EHR foundation model across 15 tasks and improving on some tasks in UK Biobank external validation.

By July 2026, researchers reported converting electronic health records into plain text by replacing medical codes with natural-language descriptions, then using general-purpose large language models to produce embeddings for downstream clinical prediction without access to private medical training data. They tested this approach on 15 tasks from the EHRSHOT benchmark and in an external validation using UK Biobank.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 17, 2026 · TRV-2026-0249

67
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

Machine learning classifiers using demographic, clinicopathological and inflammatory markers predicted 5-year overall survival and second primary cancer occurrence in a European nasopharyngeal carcinoma cohort.

In a retrospective analysis of 405 patients from six European centers, investigators built machine learning models to predict 5-year overall survival and second primary cancer risk in nasopharyngeal carcinoma, a rare cancer in Europe. The cohort had a median age of 52, was 91.6% White/European ancestry, and showed 66.6% 5-year survival with 12.8% developing second primaries.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 17, 2026 · TRV-2026-0246

67
GainHealth· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

XGBoost model integrating UHR and iPTH predicted protein-energy wasting in incident hemodialysis patients with AUC 0.801, enabling individualized risk assessment.

A retrospective multicenter study of 863 incident hemodialysis patients examined whether the uric acid to HDL-cholesterol ratio combined with intact parathyroid hormone could predict protein-energy wasting, which was present in 59.2% of the cohort. Researchers applied ROC analysis, logistic regression, and ten machine learning models with SHAP interpretability, trajectory and mediation analyses.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%95
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%87
Recency 10%89

Updated Jul 17, 2026 · TRV-2026-0245

AI problems · 625

55
ProblemCrime· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

A Claude chatbot subscriber was billed $400 for two unauthorized $200 gift card purchases for the AI tool

David Duggan subscribed to the Claude chatbot for $20 a month to answer medical questions and organise family life. His wife later noticed two $200 charges on his credit card bill for gift cards to use the AI tool that he said he had not bought. When he contacted Anthropic his account was suspended and he received computer-generated responses that did not clarify what happened.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%62
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%62
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 12, 2026 · TRV-2026-0074

55
ProblemLabor· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

University students in Great Britain expect AI to displace jobs so quickly that it could lead to civil unrest and a downturn worse than a normal recession

King's College London surveyed university students in Great Britain about AI use and economic expectations. The poll found heavy adoption among students and widespread pessimism about employment impacts, with one in three linking rapid job losses to potential civil unrest.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%62
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%62
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 12, 2026 · TRV-2026-0073

55
ProblemLabor· Stable· Evidence: Moderate (1 source)

US workers experienced layoffs in 2025 where employers attributed job cuts to artificial intelligence replacing human roles

In the past year US corporate leaders have explained workforce reductions by saying artificial intelligence made operations more efficient and eliminated the need for certain positions. A December report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas counted more than 54,000 layoffs in 2025 where AI was given as the reason, and the pattern was described as alleged AI-washing.

Impact 30%49
Evidence 25%62
Scale 20%35
Confidence 15%62
Recency 10%88

Updated Jul 12, 2026 · TRV-2026-0071

Recomputed live from the record · Sep 14, 2026, 3:32 PM